Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.004400 0.004836 0.005306 0.005851 0.006467 0.007146 0.007951
2025-08-17 0.003703 0.004311 0.005014 0.005896 0.006979 0.008280 0.009977
2025-08-24 0.003258 0.003934 0.004755 0.005835 0.007241 0.009035 0.011539
2025-08-31 0.002889 0.003586 0.004463 0.005664 0.007297 0.009485 0.012717
2025-09-07 0.002660 0.003382 0.004319 0.005648 0.007528 0.010164 0.014269
2025-09-14 0.002540 0.003304 0.004323 0.005818 0.008019 0.011245 0.016544
2025-09-21 0.002349 0.003109 0.004147 0.005712 0.008089 0.011702 0.017905
2025-09-28 0.002183 0.002935 0.003984 0.005603 0.008134 0.012113 0.019235
2025-10-05 0.002068 0.002822 0.003897 0.005596 0.008327 0.012771 0.021073
2025-10-12 0.001995 0.002766 0.003886 0.005699 0.008702 0.013764 0.023662
2025-10-19 0.001886 0.002647 0.003771 0.005627 0.008777 0.014246 0.025359
2025-10-26 0.001801 0.002558 0.003694 0.005609 0.008937 0.014892 0.027478
2025-11-02 0.001706 0.002452 0.003591 0.005546 0.009028 0.015449 0.029585
2025-11-09 0.001641 0.002389 0.003550 0.005586 0.009310 0.016413 0.032780
2025-11-16 0.001562 0.002298 0.003458 0.005529 0.009406 0.017020 0.035292
2025-11-23 0.001469 0.002181 0.003314 0.005369 0.009287 0.017173 0.036750
2025-11-30 0.001411 0.002116 0.003255 0.005354 0.009447 0.017927 0.039864
2025-12-07 0.001390 0.002109 0.003290 0.005513 0.009969 0.019536 0.045601
2025-12-14 0.001324 0.002026 0.003191 0.005414 0.009951 0.019933 0.048119
2025-12-21 0.001263 0.001947 0.003095 0.005312 0.009918 0.020289 0.050609
2025-12-28 0.001222 0.001899 0.003049 0.005305 0.010085 0.021145 0.054831
2026-01-04 0.001199 0.001882 0.003057 0.005402 0.010488 0.022639 0.061512
2026-01-11 0.001153 0.001822 0.002985 0.005334 0.010517 0.023191 0.065245